A First Look at the 2024 Election Results and Pre-Election Polls

A Panel Discussion co-hosted by the Roper Center and DC-AAPOR

A First Look at the 2024 Election Results and Pre-Election Polls will be co-hosted by the Roper Center and DC-AAPOR prior to the 2024 Mitofsky Award Dinner. The event - which includes a panel of polling experts followed by a light reception – will be held on November 14, 2024 at the Barbara Jordan Conference Center (BJCC) at the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) Washington Offices from 3:30 pm to 5:00 pm. The event will be moderated by Kabir Khanna (CBS News), and feature panelists Ruth Igelnik (New York Times), David Binder (DB-Research), and Jim Hobort (Public Opinion Strategies). This year’s Mitofsky Awardee, Mike Traugott, will provide closing remarks for the panel.

The panel will present in-person at the BJCC, and we will also provide a Zoom link for those who cannot join us at the event. A post-panel reception with light refreshments will follow.

Kabir Khanna (Moderator)

Kabir Khanna is Deputy Director, Elections, and Producer, Election Analytics at CBS News, where he works at the intersection of quantitative social science and data journalism. On election nights, he manages the Decision Team at the network’s Data Desk that analyzes live returns, identified trends, and ultimately, projects race outcomes at the national, state, and district levels. He also produces data-driven stories and news segments on elections, polling, and politics in general

David Binder

David Binder has over thirty years of experience in qualitative and quantitative research. After several years as a freelance pollster and focus group moderator, David founded David Binder Research in San Francisco in 1994, a company that now has employees in seven states across the country. David is a nationally recognized focus group moderator who has personally moderated what he thinks are over ten thousand focus groups, but he has never really counted. David’s clients include a broad range of political, government, business, labor, health care, communications, and advertising firms, as well as non-profit organizations and foundations. He is a frequent commentator on public opinion research for media groups around the country.

Ruth Igielnik

Ruth Igielnik is polling editor at the New York Times where she conducts the New York Times/Siena College polls and reports on polling. Ruth has been at the New York Times since 2022, before which she spent the better part of a decade at Pew Research Center polling on everything from gender to race to guns. She also, along with Scott Keeter, pioneered the Validated Voter research at Pew. Ruth started her career working in political polling at Hart Research and GQR.

Jim Hobart

Jim Hobart is a Partner at Public Opinion Strategies. Jim has been a part of the polling team in some of the most competitive and important elections in the country and has received the prestigious Rising Star Award from Campaign and Elections Magazine. Jim has polled for Governor Greg Abbot, the primary SuperPAC backing J.D. Vance in the Ohio Senate race, Governor Mike Dunleavy, Roger Marshall, and Brian Kemp as well as others. Jim is also an accomplished focus group moderator having moderated more than 200 groups throughout the country. He regularly appears on NPR, CNN, HillTV, and the BBC to offer political analysis.

Michael Traugott

Michael (Mike) Traugott is Professor Emeritus of Communication and Political Science at the University of Michigan, and recipient of the 2024 Warren J. Mitofsky Award for Excellence in Public Opinion Research. Traugott has published extensively in the areas of campaigns and elections, voting behavior, political communication, the use of polls to construct news, and survey methodology. He is a frequent resource for journalists interested in discussing American political campaigns and government operations. Within the AAPOR community, he was instrumental in establishing the Education Committee and served as a member of the committee for a decade, as well as serving as AAPOR president, and in 2010, he received the AAPOR Award for Exceptionally distinguished Achievement. In 2018, he received WAAPOR’s Helen Dinerman Award for particularly significant contributions to public opinion and survey methodology.

Host or Publisher DC-AAPOR